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Compare AC Milan vs Kocaelispor

AC Milan vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AC Milan vs Kocaelispor: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AC Milan AC Milan Home Team
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Away Team
AC Milan
47.5
L L D W L L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Kocaelispor
36.8
L D L D D D L L W L

Categories Won

12

AC Milan

2

Draw

1

Kocaelispor

Performance Radar

AC Milan
Kocaelispor

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

0.5

5 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Pavlović (3 goals)
S. Dursun (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
65.5

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 70.0

64.6

League Difficulty: 72.0, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.05

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.15

0.51

Actual: 0.5 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
47.5

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 69.3, Form: 46.2

36.8

Attack: 19.1, Defense: 64.9, Form: 11.5

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

2

46-60'

1

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

1
AC Milan
Kocaelispor
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

47.5

Overall

Attack 34.6
Defense 69.3
Form 46.2
Consistency 39.7
Kocaelispor

Power Rating Breakdown

36.8

Overall

Attack 19.1
Defense 64.9
Form 11.5
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

90.0 vs 72.0

Opponent Quality

70.0 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 0%
AC Milan logo AC Milan
L
Atalanta (64%)
L
Sassuolo (69%)
D
Juventus (80%)
W
Verona (55%)
L
Udinese (74%)
L
Napoli (79%)
W
Torino (69%)
L
Lazio (76%)
Kocaelispor logo Kocaelispor
L
Fatih (55%)
D
Kasımpaşa (57%)
L
Gençlerbirliği (50%)
D
Göztepe (59%)
D
Galatasaray (69%)
D
Başakşehir (66%)
L
Alanyaspor (61%)
L
Konyaspor (61%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Atalanta H
2 - 3 L
64%
Sassuolo A
0 - 2 L
69%
Juventus H
0 - 0 D
80%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
55%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
74%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
79%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
69%
Lazio A
0 - 1 L
76%
Inter Milan H
1 - 0 W
78%
Cremonese A
2 - 0 W
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fatih H
0 - 1 L
55%
Kasımpaşa A
1 - 1 D
57%
Gençlerbirliği A
0 - 1 L
50%
Göztepe H
1 - 1 D
59%
Galatasaray A
1 - 1 D
69%
Başakşehir H
0 - 0 D
66%
Alanyaspor A
0 - 5 L
61%
Konyaspor H
1 - 2 L
61%
Eyüp A
1 - 0 W
58%
Beşiktaş H
0 - 1 L
60%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 65.5 vs 64.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AC Milan holds the attacking edge with 0.9 goals per match versus Kocaelispor's 0.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with AC Milan conceding 1.2 and Kocaelispor conceding 1.3 per match.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Kocaelispor has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.0 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

AC Milan has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AC Milan

AC Milan

VS
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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