Compare AC Milan vs Lille

AC Milan vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AC Milan vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AC Milan Home Team

Lille Away Team

AC Milan

47.5

L L D W L L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Lille

72.8

W D W D W W W L W L

Categories Won

AC Milan

Draw

Lille

Performance Radar

AC Milan

Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

12 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

S. Pavlović (3 goals)

Matías Fernández (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

65.5

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 70.0

75.1

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

20%

1W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.15

1.66

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating

47.5

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 69.3, Form: 46.2

72.8

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 100, Form: 75.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

AC Milan

Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

47.5

Overall

Attack 34.6

Defense 69.3

Form 46.2

Consistency 39.7

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 58.4

Defense 100

Form 75.1

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

90.0 vs 85.8

Opponent Quality

70.0 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 67%

AC Milan

Lille

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Atalanta H

Italian Serie A

2 - 3 L

64%

Sassuolo A

Italian Serie A

0 - 2 L

69%

Juventus H

Italian Serie A

0 - 0 D

80%

Verona A

Italian Serie A

1 - 0 W

55%

Udinese H

Italian Serie A

0 - 3 L

74%

Napoli A

Italian Serie A

0 - 1 L

79%

Torino H

Italian Serie A

3 - 2 W

69%

Lazio A

Italian Serie A

0 - 1 L

76%

Inter Milan H

Italian Serie A

1 - 0 W

78%

Cremonese A

Italian Serie A

2 - 0 W

56%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

77%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

53%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

77%

Nice H

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

55%

Toulouse A

French Ligue 1

4 - 0 W

62%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

71%

Marseille A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

66%

Aston Villa A

UEFA Europa League

0 - 2 L

75%

Rennes A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

80%

Aston Villa H

UEFA Europa League

0 - 1 L

70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 65.5 vs 75.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Lille holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus AC Milan's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Lille has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to AC Milan's 1.2.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.0 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Lille emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (72.8 vs 47.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AC Milan

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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