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Compare AC Milan vs Leipzig

AC Milan vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AC Milan vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AC Milan AC Milan Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
AC Milan
47.5
L L D W L L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

3

AC Milan

1

Draw

11

Leipzig

Performance Radar

AC Milan
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
20%

2 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Pavlović (3 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
65.5

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 70.0

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.05

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.15

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
47.5

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 69.3, Form: 46.2

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

6
3

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

6
AC Milan
Leipzig
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

47.5

Overall

Attack 34.6
Defense 69.3
Form 46.2
Consistency 39.7
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

90.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

70.0 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 0%
AC Milan logo AC Milan
L
Atalanta (64%)
L
Sassuolo (69%)
D
Juventus (80%)
W
Verona (55%)
L
Udinese (74%)
L
Napoli (79%)
W
Torino (69%)
L
Lazio (76%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Atalanta H
2 - 3 L
64%
Sassuolo A
0 - 2 L
69%
Juventus H
0 - 0 D
80%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
55%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
74%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
79%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
69%
Lazio A
0 - 1 L
76%
Inter Milan H
1 - 0 W
78%
Cremonese A
2 - 0 W
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 65.5 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leipzig's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with Y. Diomande leading the charge with 4 goals. AC Milan manages just 0.9 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with AC Milan conceding 1.2 and Leipzig conceding 1.1 per match.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Leipzig emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.6 vs 47.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AC Milan

AC Milan

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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