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Compare AEK Athens vs Aris

AEK Athens vs Aris Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AEK Athens vs Aris: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AEK Athens AEK Athens Home Team
Aris Aris Away Team
AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Aris
46.8
W W W D L D D L D D

Categories Won

12

AEK Athens

2

Draw

1

Aris

Performance Radar

AEK Athens
Aris

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Zine (3 goals)
B. Garré (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

51.4

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 48.3

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

1.32

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

46.8

Attack: 40.6, Defense: 64.2, Form: 30.4

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

3
4

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
AEK Athens
Aris
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0
Aris

Power Rating Breakdown

46.8

Overall

Attack 40.6
Defense 64.2
Form 30.4
Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.8 vs 56.0

Opponent Quality

61.0 vs 48.3

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)
Aris logo Aris
W
OFI (44%)
W
OFI (49%)
W
Volos (39%)
D
Levadiakos (49%)
L
OFI (44%)
D
Panserraikos (54%)
D
Atromitos (54%)
L
Panathinaikos (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
OFI H
3 - 1 W
44%
OFI A
2 - 0 W
49%
Volos H
3 - 2 W
39%
Levadiakos A
1 - 1 D
49%
OFI H
0 - 2 L
44%
Panserraikos A
0 - 0 D
54%
Atromitos H
0 - 0 D
54%
Panathinaikos A
1 - 3 L
57%
Kifisia H
1 - 1 D
49%
Volos A
1 - 1 D
44%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.8 vs 51.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AEK Athens holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Aris's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with AEK Athens conceding 0.9 and Aris conceding 1.1 per match.

Aris has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

AEK Athens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (66.5 vs 46.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

VS
Aris

Aris

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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