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Compare AEK Athens vs Dinamo Zagreb

AEK Athens vs Dinamo Zagreb Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AEK Athens vs Dinamo Zagreb: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AEK Athens AEK Athens Home Team
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb Away Team
AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Dinamo Zagreb
85.4
W W W W D W W W W W

Categories Won

3

AEK Athens

2

Draw

10

Dinamo Zagreb

Performance Radar

AEK Athens
Dinamo Zagreb

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

90%

9W, 1D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

3.3

33 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

+25

+25

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Zine (3 goals)
D. Beljo (16 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 15 / 2nd Half: 18
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

45.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

2.86

Actual: 3.3 | Diff: +0.44

Adjusted Power Rating
66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

85.4

Attack: 95.6, Defense: 70.1, Form: 86.0

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

5
2

16-30'

4
4

31-45'

6
2

46-60'

3
4

61-75'

9
2

76-90+'

6
AEK Athens
Dinamo Zagreb
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0
Dinamo Zagreb

Power Rating Breakdown

85.4

Overall

Attack 95.6
Defense 70.1
Form 86.0
Consistency 89.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.8 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

61.0 vs 46.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)
Dinamo Zagreb logo Dinamo Zagreb
W
Hajduk (53%)
W
Gorica (50%)
W
Varaždin (48%)
W
Istra (46%)
D
Rijeka (44%)
W
Vukovar (37%)
W
Osijek (40%)
W
Lokomotiva (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hajduk H
2 - 0 W
53%
Gorica A
2 - 1 W
50%
Varaždin H
2 - 1 W
48%
Istra A
2 - 0 W
46%
Rijeka H
2 - 2 D
44%
Vukovar A
4 - 1 W
37%
Osijek H
7 - 0 W
40%
Lokomotiva A
5 - 0 W
49%
Slaven H
4 - 2 W
35%
Hajduk A
3 - 1 W
58%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

AEK Athens has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.8) compared to Dinamo Zagreb (SoS: 45.6). This means AEK Athens's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Dinamo Zagreb's attack is on another level, averaging 3.3 goals per match with D. Beljo leading the charge with 16 goals. AEK Athens manages just 1.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with AEK Athens conceding 0.9 and Dinamo Zagreb conceding 0.8 per match.

Dinamo Zagreb has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Dinamo Zagreb, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Dinamo Zagreb is a strong road team with a 100% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Dinamo Zagreb emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (85.4 vs 66.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

VS
Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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