Compare AEK Athens vs Estrela

AEK Athens vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AEK Athens vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AEK Athens Home Team

Estrela Away Team

AEK Athens

66.5

W D W W L W W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela

39.2

D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

AEK Athens

Draw

Estrela

Performance Radar

AEK Athens

Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Zine (3 goals)

Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

Home Win Rate

80%

4W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating

66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

AEK Athens

Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9

Defense 76.9

Form 65.9

Consistency 52.0

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4

Defense 58.4

Form 10.3

Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.8 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

61.0 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%

AEK Athens

Estrela

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Panathinaikos H

Greek Super League

2 - 1 W

52%

Panathinaikos A

Greek Super League

0 - 0 D

57%

PAOK H

Greek Super League

3 - 0 W

54%

Rayo H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 1 W

68%

Rayo A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 3 L

73%

Olympiakos A

Greek Super League

1 - 0 W

61%

Kifisia H

Greek Super League

3 - 0 W

49%

Celje H

UEFA Conference League

0 - 2 L

67%

Atromitos A

Greek Super League

2 - 2 D

59%

Celje A

UEFA Conference League

4 - 0 W

70%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

69%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 3 L

55%

Porto H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

69%

Arouca A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

62%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

70%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

4 - 0 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

66%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

AVS A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.8 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AEK Athens holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

AEK Athens has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Estrela's 1.3.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

AEK Athens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (66.5 vs 39.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AEK Athens

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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