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Compare AEK Athens vs Nacional

AEK Athens vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AEK Athens vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AEK Athens AEK Athens Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

12

AEK Athens

3

Draw

0

Nacional

Performance Radar

AEK Athens
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Zine (3 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

AEK Athens
Nacional
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.8 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

61.0 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.8 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AEK Athens's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with Zine leading the charge with 3 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with AEK Athens conceding 0.9 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.3 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

AEK Athens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (66.5 vs 40.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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