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Compare AEK Athens vs Olympiakos

AEK Athens vs Olympiakos Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AEK Athens vs Olympiakos: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AEK Athens AEK Athens Home Team
Olympiakos Olympiakos Away Team
AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Olympiakos
48.6
D L W L D W D W D W

Categories Won

9

AEK Athens

2

Draw

4

Olympiakos

Performance Radar

AEK Athens
Olympiakos

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Zine (3 goals)
A. El Kaabi (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

43.3

League Difficulty: 60.1, Opponent Quality: 55.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

1.11

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

48.6

Attack: 34.2, Defense: 74.6, Form: 37.3

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

2
AEK Athens
Olympiakos
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0
Olympiakos

Power Rating Breakdown

48.6

Overall

Attack 34.2
Defense 74.6
Form 37.3
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.8 vs 60.1

Opponent Quality

61.0 vs 55.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)
Olympiakos logo Olympiakos
D
PAOK (54%)
L
PAOK (59%)
W
Panathinaikos (57%)
L
AEK Athens (62%)
D
Larissa (41%)
W
OFI (49%)
D
PAOK (54%)
W
Panserraikos (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
PAOK H
1 - 1 D
54%
PAOK A
1 - 3 L
59%
Panathinaikos A
2 - 0 W
57%
AEK Athens H
0 - 1 L
62%
Larissa H
0 - 0 D
41%
OFI A
3 - 0 W
49%
PAOK H
0 - 0 D
54%
Panserraikos A
2 - 1 W
54%
Leverkusen A
0 - 0 D
72%
Panaitolikos H
2 - 0 W
48%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

AEK Athens has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.8) compared to Olympiakos (SoS: 43.3). This means AEK Athens's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

AEK Athens holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Olympiakos's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Olympiakos has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to AEK Athens's 0.9.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Olympiakos is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

AEK Athens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (66.5 vs 48.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-04-05), AEK Athens prevailed 0-1 against Olympiakos. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, AEK Athens achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Olympiakos shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Olympiakos will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. AEK Athens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

VS
Olympiakos

Olympiakos

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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