Skip to content
Compare AEK Athens vs St. Pauli

AEK Athens vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AEK Athens vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AEK Athens AEK Athens Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

12

AEK Athens

1

Draw

2

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

AEK Athens
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Zine (3 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

2

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
AEK Athens
St. Pauli
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.8 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

61.0 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 33%
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.8 vs 68.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AEK Athens's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with Zine leading the charge with 3 goals. St. Pauli manages just 0.6 per match.

AEK Athens has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to St. Pauli's 1.7.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, AEK Athens is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (65.9), defense (76.9), and form (65.9) leaves little room for doubt. St. Pauli will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Popular Teams

We use cookies & local storage to enhance your experience. Learn more