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Compare AEK Athens vs Winterthur

AEK Athens vs Winterthur Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AEK Athens vs Winterthur: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AEK Athens AEK Athens Home Team
Winterthur Winterthur Away Team
AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Winterthur
33.7
L W D L L L L W D D

Categories Won

12

AEK Athens

1

Draw

2

Winterthur

Performance Radar

AEK Athens
Winterthur

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Zine (3 goals)
N. Burkart (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

36.6

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 48.5

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

1.46

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

33.7

Attack: 40.4, Defense: 28.9, Form: 17.3

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

3
4

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

1
AEK Athens
Winterthur
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0
Winterthur

Power Rating Breakdown

33.7

Overall

Attack 40.4
Defense 28.9
Form 17.3
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.8 vs 49.0

Opponent Quality

61.0 vs 48.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)
Winterthur logo Winterthur
L
GC Zürich (36%)
W
Lausanne (42%)
D
Zürich (37%)
L
Servette (70%)
L
GC Zürich (27%)
L
Lausanne (43%)
L
Basel (46%)
W
Luzern (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
GC Zürich A
2 - 3 L
36%
Lausanne H
2 - 1 W
42%
Zürich H
2 - 2 D
37%
Servette A
3 - 5 L
70%
GC Zürich H
0 - 2 L
27%
Lausanne A
1 - 2 L
43%
Basel H
0 - 2 L
46%
Luzern A
2 - 1 W
57%
Sion A
1 - 1 D
66%
Servette H
1 - 1 D
61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

AEK Athens has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.8) compared to Winterthur (SoS: 36.6). This means AEK Athens's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

AEK Athens holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Winterthur's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, AEK Athens is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Winterthur leaks 2.0 per match.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, AEK Athens is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (65.9), defense (76.9), and form (65.9) leaves little room for doubt. Winterthur will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

VS
Winterthur

Winterthur

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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