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Compare AGF vs Estrela

AGF vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AGF vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AGF AGF Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
AGF
52.9
W W D D L D W D D W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

9

AGF

3

Draw

3

Estrela

Performance Radar

AGF
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 5D, 1L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Bech (2 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 50.7

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.14

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.06

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
52.9

Attack: 41.0, Defense: 75.1, Form: 41.0

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

2

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

2
AGF
Estrela
AGF

Power Rating Breakdown

52.9

Overall

Attack 41.0
Defense 75.1
Form 41.0
Consistency 63.7
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

50.7 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
AGF logo AGF
W
Brøndby (49%)
W
Sønderjyske (43%)
D
Midtjylland (52%)
D
Nordsjælland (60%)
L
Midtjylland (57%)
D
Nordsjælland (55%)
W
Viborg (55%)
D
Brøndby (44%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brøndby A
2 - 0 W
49%
Sønderjyske H
2 - 1 W
43%
Midtjylland H
0 - 0 D
52%
Nordsjælland A
1 - 1 D
60%
Midtjylland A
1 - 2 L
57%
Nordsjælland H
1 - 1 D
55%
Viborg A
2 - 1 W
55%
Brøndby H
0 - 0 D
44%
Sønderjyske A
1 - 1 D
48%
Vejle A
2 - 1 W
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.4 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with AGF averaging 1.2 and Estrela averaging 1.0 goals per match.

AGF has the defensive edge, conceding 0.8 per match compared to Estrela's 1.3.

AGF has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

AGF has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AGF

AGF

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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