Skip to content
Compare AGF vs Nacional

AGF vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AGF vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AGF AGF Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
AGF
52.9
W W D D L D W D D W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

9

AGF

3

Draw

3

Nacional

Performance Radar

AGF
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 5D, 1L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Bech (2 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 50.7

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.14

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.06

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
52.9

Attack: 41.0, Defense: 75.1, Form: 41.0

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

AGF
Nacional
AGF

Power Rating Breakdown

52.9

Overall

Attack 41.0
Defense 75.1
Form 41.0
Consistency 63.7
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

50.7 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
AGF logo AGF
W
Brøndby (49%)
W
Sønderjyske (43%)
D
Midtjylland (52%)
D
Nordsjælland (60%)
L
Midtjylland (57%)
D
Nordsjælland (55%)
W
Viborg (55%)
D
Brøndby (44%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brøndby A
2 - 0 W
49%
Sønderjyske H
2 - 1 W
43%
Midtjylland H
0 - 0 D
52%
Nordsjælland A
1 - 1 D
60%
Midtjylland A
1 - 2 L
57%
Nordsjælland H
1 - 1 D
55%
Viborg A
2 - 1 W
55%
Brøndby H
0 - 0 D
44%
Sønderjyske A
1 - 1 D
48%
Vejle A
2 - 1 W
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.4 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AGF holds the attacking edge with 1.2 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

AGF has the defensive edge, conceding 0.8 per match compared to Nacional's 1.1.

AGF has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 1.9 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

AGF has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AGF

AGF

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Popular Teams

We use cookies & local storage to enhance your experience. Learn more