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Compare Alavés vs Nacional

Alavés vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Alavés vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Alavés Alavés Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Alavés
43.5
D L W L D D W D L L

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

7

Alavés

2

Draw

6

Nacional

Performance Radar

Alavés
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 4D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Toni Martínez (7 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
60.4

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.3

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.08

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.28

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
43.5

Attack: 66.2, Defense: 29.4, Form: 22.1

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

Alavés
Nacional
Alavés

Power Rating Breakdown

43.5

Overall

Attack 66.2
Defense 29.4
Form 22.1
Consistency 64.0
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

93.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

66.3 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Alavés logo Alavés
D
Elche (66%)
L
Athletic (55%)
W
Mallorca (68%)
L
Real Madrid (70%)
D
Real Sociedad (66%)
D
Osasuna (58%)
W
Celta Vigo (59%)
D
Villarreal (73%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Elche A
1 - 1 D
66%
Athletic H
2 - 4 L
55%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
68%
Real Madrid A
1 - 2 L
70%
Real Sociedad A
3 - 3 D
66%
Osasuna H
2 - 2 D
58%
Celta Vigo A
4 - 3 W
59%
Villarreal H
1 - 1 D
73%
Valencia A
2 - 3 L
72%
Levante A
0 - 2 L
76%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 60.4 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Alavés's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with Toni Martínez leading the charge with 7 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Defensively, Nacional is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Alavés leaks 2.2 per match.

Alavés has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Alavés

Alavés

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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