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Compare Alverca vs Nacional

Alverca vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Alverca vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Alverca Alverca Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Alverca
44.7
D L W L W W L D D D

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

7

Alverca

5

Draw

3

Nacional

Performance Radar

Alverca
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 4D, 3L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Figueiredo (4 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.5

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 59.7

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.42

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.22

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
44.7

Attack: 41.0, Defense: 58.1, Form: 30.7

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

Alverca
Nacional
Alverca

Power Rating Breakdown

44.7

Overall

Attack 41.0
Defense 58.1
Form 30.7
Consistency 57.7
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

59.7 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Alverca logo Alverca
D
Estoril (47%)
L
Porto (74%)
W
Arouca (57%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
W
Rio Ave (66%)
L
Sporting (70%)
D
Gil Vicente (60%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Estoril H
1 - 1 D
47%
Porto A
0 - 1 L
74%
Arouca H
2 - 1 W
57%
Nacional A
0 - 1 L
57%
Casa Pia H
3 - 1 W
48%
Rio Ave A
2 - 1 W
66%
Sporting H
1 - 4 L
70%
Gil Vicente A
2 - 2 D
60%
AVS H
0 - 0 D
59%
Vitória SC A
1 - 1 D
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.5 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Alverca holds the attacking edge with 1.2 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Alverca conceding 1.3 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

In their recent Portuguese Primeira Liga match (2026-04-18), Nacional prevailed 1-0 against Alverca. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Nacional secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Alverca will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nacional will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Alverca

Alverca

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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