Compare Alverca vs Rayo

Alverca vs Rayo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Alverca vs Rayo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Alverca Home Team

Rayo Away Team

Alverca

44.7

D L W L W W L D D D

Last 10 Matches

Rayo

65.9

D W W W D W L L W W

Categories Won

Alverca

Draw

Rayo

Performance Radar

Alverca

Rayo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 4D, 3L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

Clean Sheet

10%

1 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Figueiredo (4 goals)

Alemão (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

52.5

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 59.7

69.4

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.2

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 2 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.22

1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating

44.7

Attack: 41.0, Defense: 58.1, Form: 30.7

65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.6, Form: 71.6

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Alverca

Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

44.7

Overall

Attack 41.0

Defense 58.1

Form 30.7

Consistency 57.7

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7

Defense 79.6

Form 71.6

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 87.0

Opponent Quality

59.7 vs 63.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%

Alverca

Rayo

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

47%

Porto A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Arouca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 1 W

57%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

3 - 1 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 1 W

66%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 4 L

70%

Gil Vicente A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

60%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

59%

Vitória SC A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

59%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Girona H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 1 D

59%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

57%

Getafe A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 0 W

72%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

52%

Real Sociedad H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 3 D

61%

Espanyol H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

50%

AEK Athens A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 3 L

75%

Mallorca A

Spanish La Liga

0 - 3 L

73%

AEK Athens H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 0 W

70%

Elche H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.4) compared to Alverca (SoS: 52.5). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Alverca averaging 1.2 and Rayo averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Alverca's 1.3.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.9 vs 44.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Alverca

Rayo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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