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Compare Alverca vs St. Pauli

Alverca vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Alverca vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Alverca Alverca Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Alverca
44.7
D L W L W W L D D D

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

10

Alverca

2

Draw

3

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Alverca
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 4D, 3L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Figueiredo (4 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.5

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 59.7

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.42

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.22

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
44.7

Attack: 41.0, Defense: 58.1, Form: 30.7

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1

16-30'

2

31-45'

2

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Alverca
St. Pauli
Alverca

Power Rating Breakdown

44.7

Overall

Attack 41.0
Defense 58.1
Form 30.7
Consistency 57.7
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

59.7 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Alverca logo Alverca
D
Estoril (47%)
L
Porto (74%)
W
Arouca (57%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
W
Rio Ave (66%)
L
Sporting (70%)
D
Gil Vicente (60%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Estoril H
1 - 1 D
47%
Porto A
0 - 1 L
74%
Arouca H
2 - 1 W
57%
Nacional A
0 - 1 L
57%
Casa Pia H
3 - 1 W
48%
Rio Ave A
2 - 1 W
66%
Sporting H
1 - 4 L
70%
Gil Vicente A
2 - 2 D
60%
AVS H
0 - 0 D
59%
Vitória SC A
1 - 1 D
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Alverca (SoS: 52.5). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Alverca holds the attacking edge with 1.2 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Alverca has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to St. Pauli's 1.7.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Alverca has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.0 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Alverca

Alverca

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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