Compare Alverca vs Sturm

Alverca vs Sturm Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Alverca vs Sturm: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Alverca Home Team

Sturm Away Team

Alverca

44.7

D L W L W W L D D D

Last 10 Matches

Sturm

59.4

W D D D D D W D W W

Categories Won

Alverca

Draw

Sturm

Performance Radar

Alverca

Sturm

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 4D, 3L

40%

4W, 6D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

Clean Sheet

10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Figueiredo (4 goals)

O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8

1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

52.5

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 59.7

52.6

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.0

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 2 matches

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.22

1.71

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.09

Adjusted Power Rating

44.7

Attack: 41.0, Defense: 58.1, Form: 30.7

59.4

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 71.8, Form: 41.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Alverca

Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

44.7

Overall

Attack 41.0

Defense 58.1

Form 30.7

Consistency 57.7

Power Rating Breakdown

59.4

Overall

Attack 61.6

Defense 71.8

Form 41.0

Consistency 71.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

59.7 vs 51.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Alverca

Sturm

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

47%

Porto A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Arouca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 1 W

57%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

3 - 1 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 1 W

66%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 4 L

70%

Gil Vicente A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

60%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

59%

Vitória SC A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

59%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Hartberg A

Austrian Bundesliga

4 - 2 W

44%

RB Salzburg A

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

51%

Austria H

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

48%

LASK H

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

64%

LASK A

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

69%

Hartberg H

Austrian Bundesliga

0 - 0 D

39%

Rapid Vienna A

Austrian Bundesliga

2 - 0 W

53%

RB Salzburg H

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

46%

Austria A

Austrian Bundesliga

5 - 2 W

53%

Altach H

Austrian Bundesliga

2 - 0 W

43%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.5 vs 52.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Sturm holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Alverca's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Sturm has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Alverca's 1.3.

Sturm has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Sturm has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Alverca

Sturm

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair