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Compare Arka vs St. Pauli

Arka vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Arka vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Arka Arka Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Arka
38.9
D L L D W L D W L D

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

9

Arka

2

Draw

4

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Arka
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 4D, 4L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
V. Gutkovskis (3 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.1

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.2

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.3

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: 0.0

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
38.9

Attack: 45.1, Defense: 38.2, Form: 20.8

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

6

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
Arka
St. Pauli
Arka

Power Rating Breakdown

38.9

Overall

Attack 45.1
Defense 38.2
Form 20.8
Consistency 64.0
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

57.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

52.2 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Arka logo Arka
D
Lech (69%)
L
Piast (58%)
L
Jagiellonia (48%)
D
Cracovia (45%)
W
Zagłębie (49%)
L
Kielce (48%)
D
Widzew (54%)
W
Wisła Płock (47%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lech A
1 - 1 D
69%
Piast A
1 - 4 L
58%
Jagiellonia H
0 - 3 L
48%
Cracovia A
2 - 2 D
45%
Zagłębie H
3 - 1 W
49%
Kielce A
0 - 3 L
48%
Widzew H
0 - 0 D
54%
Wisła Płock A
3 - 0 W
47%
Radomiak A
1 - 3 L
58%
Lechia H
2 - 2 D
46%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Arka (SoS: 54.1). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Arka holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Arka conceding 1.9 and St. Pauli conceding 1.7 per match.

Arka has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Arka

Arka

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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