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Compare Athletic vs Atlético

Athletic vs Atlético Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Athletic vs Atlético: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Athletic Athletic Home Team
Atlético Atlético Away Team
Athletic
39.8
L W L W L L W L L L

Last 10 Matches

Atlético
48.1
W L L W D W L D L L

Categories Won

1

Athletic

4

Draw

10

Atlético

Performance Radar

Athletic
Atlético

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 0D, 7L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Gorka Guruzeta (3 goals)
A. Sørloth (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
58.6

League Difficulty: 88.2, Opponent Quality: 66.6

64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.48

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.48

1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

Adjusted Power Rating
39.8

Attack: 36.2, Defense: 50.7, Form: 32.6

48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

3
Athletic
Atlético
Athletic

Power Rating Breakdown

39.8

Overall

Attack 36.2
Defense 50.7
Form 32.6
Consistency 43.3
Atlético

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6
Defense 57.4
Form 34.4
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.2 vs 89.4

Opponent Quality

66.6 vs 65.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Athletic logo Athletic
L
Valencia (67%)
W
Alavés (65%)
L
Atlético (66%)
W
Osasuna (58%)
L
Villarreal (73%)
L
Getafe (72%)
W
Betis (68%)
L
Girona (64%)
Atlético logo Atlético
W
Osasuna (63%)
L
Celta Vigo (54%)
L
Arsenal (77%)
W
Valencia (72%)
D
Arsenal (72%)
W
Athletic (55%)
L
Elche (66%)
D
Real Sociedad (42%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Valencia H
0 - 1 L
67%
Alavés A
4 - 2 W
65%
Atlético A
2 - 3 L
66%
Osasuna H
1 - 0 W
58%
Villarreal H
1 - 2 L
73%
Getafe A
0 - 2 L
72%
Betis H
2 - 1 W
68%
Girona A
0 - 3 L
64%
Barcelona H
0 - 1 L
86%
Real Sociedad A
0 - 1 L
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osasuna A
2 - 1 W
63%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 1 L
54%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
77%
Valencia A
2 - 0 W
72%
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
72%
Athletic H
3 - 2 W
55%
Elche A
2 - 3 L
66%
Real Sociedad H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barcelona H
1 - 2 L
88%
Sevilla A
1 - 2 L
63%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.6 vs 64.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Atlético holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Athletic's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Athletic conceding 1.6 and Atlético conceding 1.5 per match.

Athletic has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Atlético has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the Spanish La Liga (2026-04-25), Atlético beat Athletic 3-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Atlético secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Athletic will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Atlético will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Athletic

Athletic

VS
Atlético

Atlético

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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