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Compare Athletic vs Toulouse

Athletic vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Athletic vs Toulouse: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Athletic Athletic Home Team
Toulouse Toulouse Away Team
Athletic
39.8
L W L W L L W L L L

Last 10 Matches

Toulouse
41.6
W W D L L L L W W L

Categories Won

3

Athletic

5

Draw

7

Toulouse

Performance Radar

Athletic
Toulouse

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 0D, 7L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Gorka Guruzeta (3 goals)
Emersonn (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
58.6

League Difficulty: 88.2, Opponent Quality: 66.6

56.0

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 66.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.48

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.48

1.94

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.44

Adjusted Power Rating
39.8

Attack: 36.2, Defense: 50.7, Form: 32.6

41.6

Attack: 53.0, Defense: 28.3, Form: 42.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

5
3

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

5
Athletic
Toulouse
Athletic

Power Rating Breakdown

39.8

Overall

Attack 36.2
Defense 50.7
Form 32.6
Consistency 43.3
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 53.0
Defense 28.3
Form 42.4
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.2 vs 81.9

Opponent Quality

66.6 vs 66.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Athletic logo Athletic
L
Valencia (67%)
W
Alavés (65%)
L
Atlético (66%)
W
Osasuna (58%)
L
Villarreal (73%)
L
Getafe (72%)
W
Betis (68%)
L
Girona (64%)
Toulouse logo Toulouse
W
Lyon (65%)
W
Strasbourg (60%)
D
Monaco (72%)
L
Lens (60%)
L
Lens (76%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (84%)
W
Lorient (64%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Valencia H
0 - 1 L
67%
Alavés A
4 - 2 W
65%
Atlético A
2 - 3 L
66%
Osasuna H
1 - 0 W
58%
Villarreal H
1 - 2 L
73%
Getafe A
0 - 2 L
72%
Betis H
2 - 1 W
68%
Girona A
0 - 3 L
64%
Barcelona H
0 - 1 L
86%
Real Sociedad A
0 - 1 L
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
65%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
60%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
72%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
60%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
76%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
84%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
64%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
48%
Marseille H
0 - 1 L
61%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.6 vs 56.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Toulouse holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Athletic's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Athletic has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Toulouse's 2.2.

Athletic has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Athletic

Athletic

VS
Toulouse

Toulouse

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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