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Compare Atlético vs Fenerbahçe

Atlético vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atlético vs Fenerbahçe: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atlético Atlético Home Team
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe Away Team
Atlético
48.1
W L L W D W L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Fenerbahçe
69.6
W W L D W W W L W D

Categories Won

3

Atlético

2

Draw

10

Fenerbahçe

Performance Radar

Atlético
Fenerbahçe

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Sørloth (3 goals)
Talisca (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 17
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

64.1

League Difficulty: 72.0, Opponent Quality: 58.8

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

2.42

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

69.6

Attack: 83.7, Defense: 64.7, Form: 68.5

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

5
2

61-75'

6
3

76-90+'

7
Atlético
Fenerbahçe
Atlético

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6
Defense 57.4
Form 34.4
Consistency 49.3
Fenerbahçe

Power Rating Breakdown

69.6

Overall

Attack 83.7
Defense 64.7
Form 68.5
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.4 vs 72.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 58.8

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Atlético logo Atlético
W
Osasuna (63%)
L
Celta Vigo (54%)
L
Arsenal (77%)
W
Valencia (72%)
D
Arsenal (72%)
W
Athletic (55%)
L
Elche (66%)
D
Real Sociedad (42%)
Fenerbahçe logo Fenerbahçe
W
Konyaspor (66%)
W
Başakşehir (66%)
L
Galatasaray (69%)
D
Rize (59%)
W
Kayseri (49%)
W
Beşiktaş (60%)
W
Gaziantep (49%)
L
Fatih (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osasuna A
2 - 1 W
63%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 1 L
54%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
77%
Valencia A
2 - 0 W
72%
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
72%
Athletic H
3 - 2 W
55%
Elche A
2 - 3 L
66%
Real Sociedad H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barcelona H
1 - 2 L
88%
Sevilla A
1 - 2 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Konyaspor A
3 - 0 W
66%
Başakşehir H
3 - 1 W
66%
Galatasaray A
0 - 3 L
69%
Rize H
2 - 2 D
59%
Kayseri A
4 - 0 W
49%
Beşiktaş H
1 - 0 W
60%
Gaziantep H
4 - 1 W
49%
Fatih A
0 - 2 L
60%
Samsunspor H
3 - 2 W
62%
Antalyaspor A
2 - 2 D
48%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.8 vs 64.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Fenerbahçe holds the attacking edge with 2.2 goals per match versus Atlético's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Atlético conceding 1.5 and Fenerbahçe conceding 1.3 per match.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Fenerbahçe has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Fenerbahçe, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Fenerbahçe emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (69.6 vs 48.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atlético

Atlético

VS
Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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