Compare Atlético vs Fiorentina

Atlético vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atlético vs Fiorentina: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atlético Home Team

Fiorentina Away Team

Atlético

48.1

W L L W D W L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Fiorentina

50.1

D L D D W W L W D W

Categories Won

Atlético

Draw

Fiorentina

Performance Radar

Atlético

Fiorentina

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

-3

Clean Sheet

10%

1 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

A. Sørloth (3 goals)

C. Ndour (2 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8

1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 5

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

65.9

League Difficulty: 86.4, Opponent Quality: 66.1

Elite Opponent Record

25%

1W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

0.86

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating

48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

50.1

Attack: 30.9, Defense: 73.4, Form: 46.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Atlético

Fiorentina

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6

Defense 57.4

Form 34.4

Consistency 49.3

Power Rating Breakdown

50.1

Overall

Attack 30.9

Defense 73.4

Form 46.4

Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.4 vs 86.4

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 66.1

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 33%

Atlético

Fiorentina

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Osasuna A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 1 W

63%

Celta Vigo H

Spanish La Liga

0 - 1 L

54%

Arsenal A

UEFA Champions League

0 - 1 L

77%

Valencia A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 0 W

72%

Arsenal H

UEFA Champions League

1 - 1 D

72%

Athletic H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 2 W

55%

Elche A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 3 L

66%

Real Sociedad H

Spanish Copa Del Rey

2 - 2 D

42%

Barcelona H

UEFA Champions League

1 - 2 L

88%

Sevilla A

Spanish La Liga

1 - 2 L

63%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Genoa H

Italian Serie A

0 - 0 D

62%

Roma A

Italian Serie A

0 - 4 L

75%

Sassuolo H

Italian Serie A

0 - 0 D

64%

Lecce A

Italian Serie A

1 - 1 D

58%

Crystal Palace H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 1 W

63%

Lazio H

Italian Serie A

1 - 0 W

70%

Crystal Palace A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 3 L

68%

Verona A

Italian Serie A

1 - 0 W

55%

Inter Milan H

Italian Serie A

1 - 1 D

78%

Raków A

UEFA Conference League

2 - 1 W

68%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.8 vs 65.9), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Atlético holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Fiorentina's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Fiorentina has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Atlético's 1.5.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Fiorentina has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atlético

Fiorentina

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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