Compare Atlético vs Nacional

Atlético vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atlético vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atlético Home Team

Nacional Away Team

Atlético

48.1

W L L W D W L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

Atlético

Draw

Nacional

Performance Radar

Atlético

Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

-3

Clean Sheet

10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

A. Sørloth (3 goals)

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

25%

1W / 4 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating

48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Atlético

Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6

Defense 57.4

Form 34.4

Consistency 49.3

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.4 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%

Atlético

Nacional

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Osasuna A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 1 W

63%

Celta Vigo H

Spanish La Liga

0 - 1 L

54%

Arsenal A

UEFA Champions League

0 - 1 L

77%

Valencia A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 0 W

72%

Arsenal H

UEFA Champions League

1 - 1 D

72%

Athletic H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 2 W

55%

Elche A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 3 L

66%

Real Sociedad H

Spanish Copa Del Rey

2 - 2 D

42%

Barcelona H

UEFA Champions League

1 - 2 L

88%

Sevilla A

Spanish La Liga

1 - 2 L

63%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Atlético has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 64.8) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means Atlético's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Atlético holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Nacional has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Atlético's 1.5.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Atlético has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atlético

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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