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Compare Atlético vs Porto

Atlético vs Porto Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atlético vs Porto: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atlético Atlético Home Team
Porto Porto Away Team
Atlético
48.1
W L L W D W L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Porto
60.9
L W W W L W D D W W

Categories Won

4

Atlético

2

Draw

9

Porto

Performance Radar

Atlético
Porto

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Sørloth (3 goals)
William (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

54.9

League Difficulty: 80.8, Opponent Quality: 64.4

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

1.73

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.13

Adjusted Power Rating
48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

60.9

Attack: 55.9, Defense: 69.9, Form: 62.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

4
3

76-90+'

2
Atlético
Porto
Atlético

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6
Defense 57.4
Form 34.4
Consistency 49.3
Porto

Power Rating Breakdown

60.9

Overall

Attack 55.9
Defense 69.9
Form 62.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.4 vs 80.8

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 64.4

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Atlético logo Atlético
W
Osasuna (63%)
L
Celta Vigo (54%)
L
Arsenal (77%)
W
Valencia (72%)
D
Arsenal (72%)
W
Athletic (55%)
L
Elche (66%)
D
Real Sociedad (42%)
Porto logo Porto
L
AVS (64%)
W
Alverca (59%)
W
Estrela (54%)
W
Tondela (52%)
L
Nottm Forest (81%)
W
Estoril (52%)
D
Nottm Forest (76%)
D
Famalicão (69%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osasuna A
2 - 1 W
63%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 1 L
54%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
77%
Valencia A
2 - 0 W
72%
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
72%
Athletic H
3 - 2 W
55%
Elche A
2 - 3 L
66%
Real Sociedad H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barcelona H
1 - 2 L
88%
Sevilla A
1 - 2 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
AVS A
1 - 3 L
64%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Estrela A
2 - 1 W
54%
Tondela H
2 - 0 W
52%
Nottm Forest A
0 - 1 L
81%
Estoril A
3 - 1 W
52%
Nottm Forest H
1 - 1 D
76%
Famalicão H
2 - 2 D
69%
Braga A
2 - 1 W
69%
Stuttgart H
2 - 0 W
68%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.8 vs 54.9), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Atlético averaging 1.4 and Porto averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Porto has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Atlético's 1.5.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Porto is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Porto has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atlético

Atlético

VS
Porto

Porto

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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