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Compare Atlético vs Leipzig

Atlético vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atlético vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atlético Atlético Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
Atlético
48.1
W L L W D W L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

2

Atlético

2

Draw

11

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Atlético
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Sørloth (3 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

6
3

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

6
Atlético
Leipzig
Atlético

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6
Defense 57.4
Form 34.4
Consistency 49.3
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.4 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Atlético logo Atlético
W
Osasuna (63%)
L
Celta Vigo (54%)
L
Arsenal (77%)
W
Valencia (72%)
D
Arsenal (72%)
W
Athletic (55%)
L
Elche (66%)
D
Real Sociedad (42%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osasuna A
2 - 1 W
63%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 1 L
54%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
77%
Valencia A
2 - 0 W
72%
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
72%
Athletic H
3 - 2 W
55%
Elche A
2 - 3 L
66%
Real Sociedad H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barcelona H
1 - 2 L
88%
Sevilla A
1 - 2 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.8 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leipzig holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Atlético's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Leipzig has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Atlético's 1.5.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Leipzig emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.6 vs 48.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atlético

Atlético

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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