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Compare Atlético vs Sturm

Atlético vs Sturm Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atlético vs Sturm: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atlético Atlético Home Team
Sturm Sturm Away Team
Atlético
48.1
W L L W D W L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Sturm
59.4
W D D D D D W D W W

Categories Won

3

Atlético

3

Draw

9

Sturm

Performance Radar

Atlético
Sturm

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

40%

4W, 6D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Sørloth (3 goals)
O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.8

League Difficulty: 89.4, Opponent Quality: 65.2

52.6

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.0

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.21

1.71

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
48.1

Attack: 53.6, Defense: 57.4, Form: 34.4

59.4

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 71.8, Form: 41.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

5
1

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

3

46-60'

6
2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

5
Atlético
Sturm
Atlético

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 53.6
Defense 57.4
Form 34.4
Consistency 49.3
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

59.4

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 71.8
Form 41.0
Consistency 71.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.4 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 51.0

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Atlético logo Atlético
W
Osasuna (63%)
L
Celta Vigo (54%)
L
Arsenal (77%)
W
Valencia (72%)
D
Arsenal (72%)
W
Athletic (55%)
L
Elche (66%)
D
Real Sociedad (42%)
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Hartberg (44%)
D
RB Salzburg (51%)
D
Austria (48%)
D
LASK (64%)
D
LASK (69%)
D
Hartberg (39%)
W
Rapid Vienna (53%)
D
RB Salzburg (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osasuna A
2 - 1 W
63%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 1 L
54%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
77%
Valencia A
2 - 0 W
72%
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
72%
Athletic H
3 - 2 W
55%
Elche A
2 - 3 L
66%
Real Sociedad H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barcelona H
1 - 2 L
88%
Sevilla A
1 - 2 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
44%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
51%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
48%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
64%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
69%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
39%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
53%
RB Salzburg H
1 - 1 D
46%
Austria A
5 - 2 W
53%
Altach H
2 - 0 W
43%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Atlético has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 64.8) compared to Sturm (SoS: 52.6). This means Atlético's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Sturm holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Atlético's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Sturm has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Atlético's 1.5.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sturm has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Sturm has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 11.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atlético

Atlético

VS
Sturm

Sturm

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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