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Compare AZ vs Varaždin

AZ vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AZ vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AZ AZ Home Team
Varaždin Varaždin Away Team
AZ
56.5
D D D D W L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Varaždin
42.1
D L L W W W D L W D

Categories Won

8

AZ

6

Draw

1

Varaždin

Performance Radar

AZ
Varaždin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+7

+7

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Mijnans (5 goals)
A. Latković (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.7

League Difficulty: 79.4, Opponent Quality: 65.5

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.92

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.12

1.06

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
56.5

Attack: 62.8, Defense: 66.3, Form: 41.9

42.1

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 53.6, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

8

0-15'

4

16-30'

3

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

2
5

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

1
AZ
Varaždin
AZ

Power Rating Breakdown

56.5

Overall

Attack 62.8
Defense 66.3
Form 41.9
Consistency 56.8
Varaždin

Power Rating Breakdown

42.1

Overall

Attack 36.7
Defense 53.6
Form 33.8
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.4 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

65.5 vs 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
AZ logo AZ
D
Feyenoord (72%)
D
Twente (76%)
D
Go Ahead (70%)
D
Shakhtar D (70%)
W
Heerenveen (67%)
L
Shakhtar D (75%)
W
Fortuna (56%)
L
Groningen (66%)
Varaždin logo Varaždin
D
Lokomotiva (44%)
L
Hajduk (58%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (76%)
W
Rijeka (44%)
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
D
Gorica (44%)
L
Istra (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Feyenoord A
1 - 1 D
72%
Twente H
2 - 2 D
76%
Go Ahead A
0 - 0 D
70%
Shakhtar D H
2 - 2 D
70%
Heerenveen H
3 - 0 W
67%
Shakhtar D A
0 - 3 L
75%
Fortuna H
2 - 0 W
56%
Groningen A
0 - 3 L
66%
Sparta Prague A
4 - 0 W
67%
Heracles H
4 - 0 W
36%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lokomotiva H
1 - 1 D
44%
Hajduk A
1 - 3 L
58%
Dinamo Zagreb A
1 - 2 L
76%
Rijeka H
1 - 0 W
44%
Osijek A
2 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
2 - 1 W
35%
Gorica H
1 - 1 D
44%
Istra A
1 - 2 L
46%
Vukovar H
2 - 0 W
32%
Lokomotiva A
1 - 1 D
49%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

AZ has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 54.7) compared to Varaždin (SoS: 34.6). This means AZ's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

AZ holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Varaždin's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with AZ conceding 1.1 and Varaždin conceding 1.1 per match.

AZ has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

AZ has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AZ

AZ

VS
Varaždin

Varaždin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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