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Compare Leverkusen vs AC Milan

Leverkusen vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Leverkusen vs AC Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Leverkusen Leverkusen Home Team
AC Milan AC Milan Away Team
Leverkusen
55.6
L W W L L W W D L D

Last 10 Matches

AC Milan
47.5
L L D W L L W L W W

Categories Won

9

Leverkusen

4

Draw

2

AC Milan

Performance Radar

Leverkusen
AC Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Schick (9 goals)
S. Pavlović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.1

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 69.5

65.5

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 70.0

Elite Opponent Record
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.38

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.48

1.05

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
55.6

Attack: 75.4, Defense: 47.6, Form: 47.6

47.5

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 69.3, Form: 46.2

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3

16-30'

5

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

4

76-90+'

4
Leverkusen
AC Milan
Leverkusen

Power Rating Breakdown

55.6

Overall

Attack 75.4
Defense 47.6
Form 47.6
Consistency 44.8
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

47.5

Overall

Attack 34.6
Defense 69.3
Form 46.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 90.0

Opponent Quality

69.5 vs 70.0

Elite Opponent Record

40% vs 20%
Leverkusen logo Leverkusen
L
Stuttgart (75%)
W
Leipzig (79%)
W
Köln (62%)
L
Bayern Munich (62%)
L
Augsburg (66%)
W
Dortmund (76%)
W
Wolfsburg (50%)
D
Heidenheim (67%)
AC Milan logo AC Milan
L
Atalanta (64%)
L
Sassuolo (69%)
D
Juventus (80%)
W
Verona (55%)
L
Udinese (74%)
L
Napoli (79%)
W
Torino (69%)
L
Lazio (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Stuttgart A
1 - 3 L
75%
Leipzig H
4 - 1 W
79%
Köln A
2 - 1 W
62%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 2 L
62%
Augsburg H
1 - 2 L
66%
Dortmund A
1 - 0 W
76%
Wolfsburg H
6 - 3 W
50%
Heidenheim A
3 - 3 D
67%
Arsenal A
0 - 2 L
77%
Bayern Munich H
1 - 1 D
81%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Atalanta H
2 - 3 L
64%
Sassuolo A
0 - 2 L
69%
Juventus H
0 - 0 D
80%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
55%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
74%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
79%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
69%
Lazio A
0 - 1 L
76%
Inter Milan H
1 - 0 W
78%
Cremonese A
2 - 0 W
56%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.1 vs 65.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leverkusen holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus AC Milan's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

AC Milan has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Leverkusen's 1.8.

Leverkusen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Leverkusen has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Leverkusen

Leverkusen

VS
AC Milan

AC Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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