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Compare Leverkusen vs Leipzig

Leverkusen vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Leverkusen vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Leverkusen Leverkusen Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
Leverkusen
55.6
L W W L L W W D L D

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

3

Leverkusen

2

Draw

10

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Leverkusen
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Schick (9 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.1

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 69.5

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.38

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.48

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
55.6

Attack: 75.4, Defense: 47.6, Form: 47.6

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

6
5

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

6
Leverkusen
Leipzig
Leverkusen

Power Rating Breakdown

55.6

Overall

Attack 75.4
Defense 47.6
Form 47.6
Consistency 44.8
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

69.5 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

40% vs 0%
Leverkusen logo Leverkusen
L
Stuttgart (75%)
W
Leipzig (79%)
W
Köln (62%)
L
Bayern Munich (62%)
L
Augsburg (66%)
W
Dortmund (76%)
W
Wolfsburg (50%)
D
Heidenheim (67%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Stuttgart A
1 - 3 L
75%
Leipzig H
4 - 1 W
79%
Köln A
2 - 1 W
62%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 2 L
62%
Augsburg H
1 - 2 L
66%
Dortmund A
1 - 0 W
76%
Wolfsburg H
6 - 3 W
50%
Heidenheim A
3 - 3 D
67%
Arsenal A
0 - 2 L
77%
Bayern Munich H
1 - 1 D
81%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Leverkusen has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.1) compared to Leipzig (SoS: 58.7). This means Leverkusen's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Leverkusen averaging 1.9 and Leipzig averaging 2.1 goals per match.

Leipzig has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Leverkusen's 1.8.

Leverkusen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Leipzig emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.6 vs 55.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-05-02), Leverkusen beat Leipzig 4-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Leverkusen secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Leverkusen completely dominated Leipzig in that encounter, raising serious questions about Leipzig's ability to compete at this level. Leipzig will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Leverkusen will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Leverkusen

Leverkusen

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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