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Compare Leverkusen vs St. Pauli

Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Leverkusen vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Leverkusen Leverkusen Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Leverkusen
55.6
L W W L L W W D L D

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

12

Leverkusen

1

Draw

2

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Leverkusen
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Schick (9 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.1

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 69.5

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
40%

2W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.38

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.48

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
55.6

Attack: 75.4, Defense: 47.6, Form: 47.6

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3

16-30'

2
5

31-45'

2

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

2
Leverkusen
St. Pauli
Leverkusen

Power Rating Breakdown

55.6

Overall

Attack 75.4
Defense 47.6
Form 47.6
Consistency 44.8
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

69.5 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

40% vs 33%
Leverkusen logo Leverkusen
L
Stuttgart (75%)
W
Leipzig (79%)
W
Köln (62%)
L
Bayern Munich (62%)
L
Augsburg (66%)
W
Dortmund (76%)
W
Wolfsburg (50%)
D
Heidenheim (67%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Stuttgart A
1 - 3 L
75%
Leipzig H
4 - 1 W
79%
Köln A
2 - 1 W
62%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 2 L
62%
Augsburg H
1 - 2 L
66%
Dortmund A
1 - 0 W
76%
Wolfsburg H
6 - 3 W
50%
Heidenheim A
3 - 3 D
67%
Arsenal A
0 - 2 L
77%
Bayern Munich H
1 - 1 D
81%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.1 vs 68.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leverkusen's attack is on another level, averaging 1.9 goals per match with P. Schick leading the charge with 9 goals. St. Pauli manages just 0.6 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Leverkusen conceding 1.8 and St. Pauli conceding 1.7 per match.

Leverkusen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Leverkusen emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.6 vs 34.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Leverkusen

Leverkusen

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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