Compare Brest vs Freiburg

Brest vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Brest vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Brest Home Team

Freiburg Away Team

Brest

40.9

L L D D L L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg

56.4

L W D L L L W W W W

Categories Won

Brest

Draw

Freiburg

Performance Radar

Brest

Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-6

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

L. Ajorque (4 goals)

I. Matanović (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7

Home Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

17%

1W / 6 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

58.0

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 67.3

63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 6 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.29

2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating

40.9

Attack: 43.2, Defense: 43.2, Form: 32.4

56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Brest

Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

40.9

Overall

Attack 43.2

Defense 43.2

Form 32.4

Consistency 49.3

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4

Defense 56.8

Form 56.8

Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

67.3 vs 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%

Brest

Freiburg

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

84%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

0 - 4 L

77%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

3 - 3 D

71%

Nantes A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

56%

Rennes H

French Ligue 1

3 - 4 L

75%

Auxerre A

French Ligue 1

0 - 3 L

71%

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

0 - 2 L

77%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

53%

Metz A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

48%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

61%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Hamburg A

German Bundesliga

2 - 3 L

63%

Braga H

UEFA Europa League

3 - 1 W

66%

Wolfsburg H

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

50%

Braga A

UEFA Europa League

1 - 2 L

71%

Dortmund A

German Bundesliga

0 - 4 L

76%

Stuttgart A

German DFB Pokal

1 - 2 L

57%

Heidenheim H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Celta Vigo A

UEFA Europa League

3 - 1 W

56%

Mainz 05 A

German Bundesliga

1 - 0 W

70%

Celta Vigo H

UEFA Europa League

3 - 0 W

50%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.0 vs 63.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Brest's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Freiburg has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Brest's 1.8.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 40.9) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Brest

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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