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Compare Brest vs Paris FC

Brest vs Paris FC Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Brest vs Paris FC: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Brest Brest Home Team
Paris FC Paris FC Away Team
Brest
40.9
L L D D L L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Paris FC
65.0
L W L W W D W D D W

Categories Won

1

Brest

2

Draw

12

Paris FC

Performance Radar

Brest
Paris FC

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Ajorque (4 goals)
M. Munetsi (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
58.0

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 67.3

62.9

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 63.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 6 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.49

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.29

2.35

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.55

Adjusted Power Rating
40.9

Attack: 43.2, Defense: 43.2, Form: 32.4

65.0

Attack: 67.7, Defense: 79.0, Form: 56.5

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

5
1

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

5
1

76-90+'

3
Brest
Paris FC
Brest

Power Rating Breakdown

40.9

Overall

Attack 43.2
Defense 43.2
Form 32.4
Consistency 49.3
Paris FC

Power Rating Breakdown

65.0

Overall

Attack 67.7
Defense 79.0
Form 56.5
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

67.3 vs 63.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Brest logo Brest
L
Paris SG (84%)
L
Paris FC (77%)
D
Lens (71%)
D
Nantes (56%)
L
Rennes (75%)
L
Auxerre (71%)
L
Monaco (77%)
W
Le Havre (53%)
Paris FC logo Paris FC
L
Rennes (80%)
W
Brest (56%)
L
Lille (73%)
W
Metz (48%)
W
Monaco (72%)
D
Lorient (69%)
W
Le Havre (53%)
D
Strasbourg (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Paris SG A
0 - 1 L
84%
Paris FC A
0 - 4 L
77%
Lens H
3 - 3 D
71%
Nantes A
1 - 1 D
56%
Rennes H
3 - 4 L
75%
Auxerre A
0 - 3 L
71%
Monaco A
0 - 2 L
77%
Le Havre H
2 - 0 W
53%
Metz A
1 - 0 W
48%
Marseille H
2 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rennes A
1 - 2 L
80%
Brest H
4 - 0 W
56%
Lille H
0 - 1 L
73%
Metz A
3 - 1 W
48%
Monaco H
4 - 1 W
72%
Lorient A
1 - 1 D
69%
Le Havre H
3 - 2 W
53%
Strasbourg A
0 - 0 D
60%
Lyon A
1 - 1 D
70%
Nice H
1 - 0 W
55%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.0 vs 62.9), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Paris FC holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Brest's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Paris FC is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Brest leaks 1.8 per match.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Paris FC has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Paris FC, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Paris FC emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.0 vs 40.9) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-05-03), Paris FC beat Brest 4-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Paris FC secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Paris FC completely dominated Brest in that encounter, raising serious questions about Brest's ability to compete at this level. Brest will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Paris FC will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Brest

Brest

VS
Paris FC

Paris FC

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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