Compare Brest vs Leipzig

Brest vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Brest vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Brest Home Team

Leipzig Away Team

Brest

40.9

L L D D L L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig

74.6

W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

Brest

Draw

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Brest

Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-6

+10

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

L. Ajorque (4 goals)

Y. Diomande (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11

Home Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

17%

1W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

58.0

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 67.3

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 6 matches

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.29

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating

40.9

Attack: 43.2, Defense: 43.2, Form: 32.4

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Brest

Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

40.9

Overall

Attack 43.2

Defense 43.2

Form 32.4

Consistency 49.3

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1

Defense 68.8

Form 87.0

Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

67.3 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Brest

Leipzig

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

84%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

0 - 4 L

77%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

3 - 3 D

71%

Nantes A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

56%

Rennes H

French Ligue 1

3 - 4 L

75%

Auxerre A

French Ligue 1

0 - 3 L

71%

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

0 - 2 L

77%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

53%

Metz A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

48%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

61%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

St. Pauli H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

50%

Leverkusen A

German Bundesliga

1 - 4 L

70%

Union Berlin H

German Bundesliga

3 - 1 W

52%

Frankfurt A

German Bundesliga

3 - 1 W

67%

M'gladbach H

German Bundesliga

1 - 0 W

63%

Bremen A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

67%

Hoffenheim H

German Bundesliga

5 - 0 W

65%

Stuttgart A

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

75%

Augsburg H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

66%

Hamburg A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.0 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leipzig holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Brest's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Leipzig has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Brest's 1.8.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Leipzig is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (76.1), defense (68.8), and form (87.0) leaves little room for doubt. Brest will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Brest

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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