Compare Brest vs St. Pauli

Brest vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Brest vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Brest Home Team

St. Pauli Away Team

Brest

40.9

L L D D L L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli

34.7

L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

Brest

Draw

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Brest

St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

12 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-6

-11

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

L. Ajorque (4 goals)

Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3

Home Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

58.0

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 67.3

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 6 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.29

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating

40.9

Attack: 43.2, Defense: 43.2, Form: 32.4

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Brest

St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

40.9

Overall

Attack 43.2

Defense 43.2

Form 32.4

Consistency 49.3

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7

Defense 51.3

Form 11.8

Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

67.3 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%

Brest

St. Pauli

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

84%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

0 - 4 L

77%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

3 - 3 D

71%

Nantes A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

56%

Rennes H

French Ligue 1

3 - 4 L

75%

Auxerre A

French Ligue 1

0 - 3 L

71%

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

0 - 2 L

77%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

53%

Metz A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

48%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

61%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Leipzig A

German Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

84%

Mainz 05 H

German Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

65%

Heidenheim A

German Bundesliga

0 - 2 L

67%

Köln H

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

57%

Bayern Munich H

German Bundesliga

0 - 5 L

81%

Union Berlin A

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

57%

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

67%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

0 - 2 L

68%

Frankfurt H

German Bundesliga

0 - 0 D

62%

Hoffenheim A

German Bundesliga

1 - 0 W

70%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Brest (SoS: 58.0). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Brest holds the attacking edge with 1.2 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Brest conceding 1.8 and St. Pauli conceding 1.7 per match.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Brest has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.2 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Brest

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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