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Compare Celta Vigo vs Freiburg

Celta Vigo vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Celta Vigo vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo Home Team
Freiburg Freiburg Away Team
Celta Vigo
41.2
L W W L L L L L W L

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Categories Won

3

Celta Vigo

2

Draw

10

Freiburg

Performance Radar

Celta Vigo
Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 0D, 7L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Ferran Jutglà (4 goals)
I. Matanović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.1

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 69.3

63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.76

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.36

2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating
41.2

Attack: 54.6, Defense: 31.2, Form: 35.1

56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

5
1

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Celta Vigo
Freiburg
Celta Vigo

Power Rating Breakdown

41.2

Overall

Attack 54.6
Defense 31.2
Form 35.1
Consistency 43.3
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.4 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

69.3 vs 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 33%
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo
L
Levante (71%)
W
Atlético (66%)
W
Elche (61%)
L
Villarreal (78%)
L
Barcelona (91%)
L
Freiburg (64%)
L
Oviedo (61%)
L
Freiburg (69%)
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Levante H
2 - 3 L
71%
Atlético A
1 - 0 W
66%
Elche H
3 - 1 W
61%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
78%
Barcelona A
0 - 1 L
91%
Freiburg H
1 - 3 L
64%
Oviedo H
0 - 3 L
61%
Freiburg A
0 - 3 L
69%
Valencia A
3 - 2 W
72%
Alavés H
3 - 4 L
60%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.1 vs 63.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Celta Vigo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Freiburg has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Celta Vigo's 2.2.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 41.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Europa League encounter (2026-04-16), Freiburg came out on top with a 1-3 victory over Celta Vigo. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Notably, Freiburg achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Celta Vigo shows genuine quality and mental strength. Celta Vigo will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Freiburg will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Europa League encounter (2026-04-09), Freiburg came out on top with a 3-0 victory over Celta Vigo. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Freiburg secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Freiburg completely dominated Celta Vigo in that encounter, raising serious questions about Celta Vigo's ability to compete at this level. Celta Vigo will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Freiburg will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

VS
Freiburg

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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