Compare Celta Vigo vs Lille

Celta Vigo vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Celta Vigo vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Celta Vigo Home Team

Lille Away Team

Celta Vigo

41.2

L W W L L L L L W L

Last 10 Matches

Lille

72.8

W D W D W W W L W L

Categories Won

Celta Vigo

Draw

Lille

Performance Radar

Celta Vigo

Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 0D, 7L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

2.2

22 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-8

Clean Sheet

10%

1 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Ferran Jutglà (4 goals)

Matías Fernández (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

67.1

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 69.3

75.1

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

25%

1W / 4 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.36

1.66

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating

41.2

Attack: 54.6, Defense: 31.2, Form: 35.1

72.8

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 100, Form: 75.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Celta Vigo

Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

41.2

Overall

Attack 54.6

Defense 31.2

Form 35.1

Consistency 43.3

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 58.4

Defense 100

Form 75.1

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.4 vs 85.8

Opponent Quality

69.3 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 67%

Celta Vigo

Lille

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Levante H

Spanish La Liga

2 - 3 L

71%

Atlético A

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

66%

Elche H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 1 W

61%

Villarreal A

Spanish La Liga

1 - 2 L

78%

Barcelona A

Spanish La Liga

0 - 1 L

91%

Freiburg H

UEFA Europa League

1 - 3 L

64%

Oviedo H

Spanish La Liga

0 - 3 L

61%

Freiburg A

UEFA Europa League

0 - 3 L

69%

Valencia A

Spanish La Liga

3 - 2 W

72%

Alavés H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 4 L

60%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

77%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

53%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

77%

Nice H

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

55%

Toulouse A

French Ligue 1

4 - 0 W

62%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

71%

Marseille A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

66%

Aston Villa A

UEFA Europa League

0 - 2 L

75%

Rennes A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

80%

Aston Villa H

UEFA Europa League

0 - 1 L

70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.1 vs 75.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Celta Vigo averaging 1.4 and Lille averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Defensively, Lille is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Celta Vigo leaks 2.2 per match.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Lille is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (58.4), defense (100), and form (75.1) leaves little room for doubt. Celta Vigo will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Celta Vigo

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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