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Compare Celta Vigo vs Leipzig

Celta Vigo vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Celta Vigo vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
Celta Vigo
41.2
L W W L L L L L W L

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

2

Celta Vigo

3

Draw

10

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Celta Vigo
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 0D, 7L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Ferran Jutglà (4 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.1

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 69.3

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.76

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.36

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
41.2

Attack: 54.6, Defense: 31.2, Form: 35.1

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

6
1

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

6
Celta Vigo
Leipzig
Celta Vigo

Power Rating Breakdown

41.2

Overall

Attack 54.6
Defense 31.2
Form 35.1
Consistency 43.3
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.4 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

69.3 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo
L
Levante (71%)
W
Atlético (66%)
W
Elche (61%)
L
Villarreal (78%)
L
Barcelona (91%)
L
Freiburg (64%)
L
Oviedo (61%)
L
Freiburg (69%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Levante H
2 - 3 L
71%
Atlético A
1 - 0 W
66%
Elche H
3 - 1 W
61%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
78%
Barcelona A
0 - 1 L
91%
Freiburg H
1 - 3 L
64%
Oviedo H
0 - 3 L
61%
Freiburg A
0 - 3 L
69%
Valencia A
3 - 2 W
72%
Alavés H
3 - 4 L
60%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.1 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leipzig holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Celta Vigo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Leipzig is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Celta Vigo leaks 2.2 per match.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Leipzig is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (76.1), defense (68.8), and form (87.0) leaves little room for doubt. Celta Vigo will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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