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Compare Celta Vigo vs Villarreal

Celta Vigo vs Villarreal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Celta Vigo vs Villarreal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo Home Team
Villarreal Villarreal Away Team
Celta Vigo
41.2
L W W L L L L L W L

Last 10 Matches

Villarreal
64.0
D W W D W L W D W L

Categories Won

3

Celta Vigo

1

Draw

11

Villarreal

Performance Radar

Celta Vigo
Villarreal

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 0D, 7L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Ferran Jutglà (4 goals)
N. Pépé (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

100%

4W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.1

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 69.3

68.8

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.76

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.36

2.18

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
41.2

Attack: 54.6, Defense: 31.2, Form: 35.1

64.0

Attack: 71.3, Defense: 67.3, Form: 59.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4
3

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Celta Vigo

Power Rating Breakdown

41.2

Overall

Attack 54.6
Defense 31.2
Form 35.1
Consistency 43.3
Villarreal

Power Rating Breakdown

64.0

Overall

Attack 71.3
Defense 67.3
Form 59.4
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.4 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

69.3 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 33%
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo
L
Levante (71%)
W
Atlético (66%)
W
Elche (61%)
L
Villarreal (78%)
L
Barcelona (91%)
L
Freiburg (64%)
L
Oviedo (61%)
L
Freiburg (69%)
Villarreal logo Villarreal
D
Mallorca (73%)
W
Levante (71%)
W
Celta Vigo (54%)
D
Oviedo (66%)
W
Athletic (60%)
L
Girona (64%)
W
Real Sociedad (61%)
D
Alavés (65%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Levante H
2 - 3 L
71%
Atlético A
1 - 0 W
66%
Elche H
3 - 1 W
61%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
78%
Barcelona A
0 - 1 L
91%
Freiburg H
1 - 3 L
64%
Oviedo H
0 - 3 L
61%
Freiburg A
0 - 3 L
69%
Valencia A
3 - 2 W
72%
Alavés H
3 - 4 L
60%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mallorca A
1 - 1 D
73%
Levante H
5 - 1 W
71%
Celta Vigo H
2 - 1 W
54%
Oviedo A
1 - 1 D
66%
Athletic A
2 - 1 W
60%
Girona A
0 - 1 L
64%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 1 W
61%
Alavés A
1 - 1 D
65%
Elche H
2 - 1 W
61%
Barcelona A
1 - 4 L
91%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.1 vs 68.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Villarreal holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Celta Vigo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Villarreal is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 0 clean sheets, while Celta Vigo leaks 2.2 per match.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Villarreal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Villarreal, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Villarreal emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (64.0 vs 41.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the Spanish La Liga (2026-04-26), Villarreal beat Celta Vigo 2-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Villarreal secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Celta Vigo will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Villarreal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

VS
Villarreal

Villarreal

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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