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Compare Elche vs St. Pauli

Elche vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Elche vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Elche Elche Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Elche
45.7
L D L W W W L W L L

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

9

Elche

2

Draw

4

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Elche
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
André Silva (4 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
61.0

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 68.1

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.62

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.32

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
45.7

Attack: 48.1, Defense: 48.1, Form: 44.4

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

46-60'

1
5

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Elche
St. Pauli
Elche

Power Rating Breakdown

45.7

Overall

Attack 48.1
Defense 48.1
Form 44.4
Consistency 39.7
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

93.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

68.1 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Elche logo Elche
L
Betis (73%)
D
Alavés (60%)
L
Celta Vigo (59%)
W
Oviedo (66%)
W
Atlético (61%)
W
Valencia (67%)
L
Rayo (79%)
W
Mallorca (68%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Betis A
1 - 2 L
73%
Alavés H
1 - 1 D
60%
Celta Vigo A
1 - 3 L
59%
Oviedo A
2 - 1 W
66%
Atlético H
3 - 2 W
61%
Valencia H
1 - 0 W
67%
Rayo A
0 - 1 L
79%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
68%
Real Madrid A
1 - 4 L
70%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
78%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 61.0 vs 68.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Elche holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Elche conceding 1.7 and St. Pauli conceding 1.7 per match.

Elche has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Elche, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Elche has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 11.0 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Elche

Elche

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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