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Compare Estoril vs PSV

Estoril vs PSV Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Estoril vs PSV: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Estoril Estoril Home Team
PSV PSV Away Team
Estoril
34.5
D D L L L L L W D L

Last 10 Matches

PSV
80.0
W D W W W L L W W W

Categories Won

2

Estoril

1

Draw

12

PSV

Performance Radar

Estoril
PSV

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

70%

7W, 1D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

2.9

29 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

+13

+13

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Y. Begraoui (3 goals)
R. Pepi (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 17
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.6

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 62.9

78.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 61.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

100%

2W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.77

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.07

3.64

Actual: 2.9 | Diff: -0.74

Adjusted Power Rating
34.5

Attack: 24.2, Defense: 51.8, Form: 10.4

80.0

Attack: 100, Defense: 60.0, Form: 90.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

4
1

46-60'

7

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

9
Estoril
PSV
Estoril

Power Rating Breakdown

34.5

Overall

Attack 24.2
Defense 51.8
Form 10.4
Consistency 74.8
PSV

Power Rating Breakdown

80.0

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 60.0
Form 90.0
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

62.9 vs 61.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 100%
Estoril logo Estoril
D
Alverca (64%)
D
Braga (69%)
L
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Rio Ave (61%)
W
Nacional (57%)
PSV logo PSV
W
Go Ahead (70%)
D
Ajax (67%)
W
Zwolle (54%)
W
Sparta (49%)
W
Utrecht (70%)
L
Telstar (69%)
L
NEC (64%)
W
AZ (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Alverca A
1 - 1 D
64%
Braga A
1 - 1 D
69%
Famalicão H
0 - 1 L
69%
Moreirense A
0 - 1 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 3 L
69%
Arouca A
2 - 3 L
62%
Rio Ave H
1 - 2 L
61%
Nacional A
1 - 0 W
57%
Casa Pia H
0 - 0 D
48%
Sporting A
0 - 3 L
75%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Go Ahead A
4 - 1 W
70%
Ajax A
2 - 2 D
67%
Zwolle H
6 - 1 W
54%
Sparta A
2 - 0 W
49%
Utrecht H
4 - 3 W
70%
Telstar A
1 - 3 L
69%
NEC H
2 - 3 L
64%
AZ H
2 - 1 W
67%
Heracles A
3 - 1 W
41%
Heerenveen H
3 - 1 W
67%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

PSV has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 78.6) compared to Estoril (SoS: 53.6). This means PSV's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

PSV's attack is on another level, averaging 2.9 goals per match with R. Pepi leading the charge with 7 goals. Estoril manages just 0.7 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Estoril conceding 1.5 and PSV conceding 1.6 per match.

The home advantage factor favors PSV, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

PSV is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, PSV is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (100), defense (60.0), and form (90.0) leaves little room for doubt. Estoril will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estoril

Estoril

VS
PSV

PSV

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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