Compare Estrela vs Mechelen

Estrela vs Mechelen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Estrela vs Mechelen: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Estrela Home Team

Mechelen Away Team

Estrela

39.2

D L L L L L W L D D

Last 10 Matches

Mechelen

26.6

L W L L L L D L W L

Categories Won

Estrela

Draw

Mechelen

Performance Radar

Estrela

Mechelen

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

-16

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)

B. Boersma (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

44.7

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 1 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

0.83

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

26.6

Attack: 25.3, Defense: 18.9, Form: 18.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Estrela

Mechelen

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4

Defense 58.4

Form 10.3

Consistency 74.8

Power Rating Breakdown

26.6

Overall

Attack 25.3

Defense 18.9

Form 18.9

Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 59.5

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Estrela

Mechelen

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

69%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 3 L

55%

Porto H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

69%

Arouca A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

62%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

70%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

4 - 0 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

66%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

AVS A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

64%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

R. Union SG A

Belgian First Division A

0 - 3 L

69%

Gent H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 0 W

46%

Sint-Truiden H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 4 L

44%

Club Brugge A

Belgian First Division A

1 - 6 L

71%

Anderlecht H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 2 L

35%

R. Union SG H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

0 - 1 L

75%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 1 D

63%

Club Brugge A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 4 L

83%

Anderlecht H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 0 W

47%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 3 L

63%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.1 vs 44.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Estrela averaging 1.0 and Mechelen averaging 0.8 goals per match.

Defensively, Estrela is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Mechelen leaks 2.4 per match.

Mechelen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Estrela has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estrela

Mechelen

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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