Compare Estrela vs NEC

Estrela vs NEC Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Estrela vs NEC: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Estrela Home Team

NEC Away Team

Estrela

39.2

D L L L L L W L D D

Last 10 Matches

NEC

56.6

L D D D W D W W L D

Categories Won

Estrela

Draw

NEC

Performance Radar

Estrela

NEC

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)

B. Linssen (5 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

0W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

67.5

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 65.7

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 1 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

2.04

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

56.6

Attack: 66.6, Defense: 66.6, Form: 35.2

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Estrela

NEC

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4

Defense 58.4

Form 10.3

Consistency 74.8

Power Rating Breakdown

56.6

Overall

Attack 66.6

Defense 66.6

Form 35.2

Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 65.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%

Estrela

NEC

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

69%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 3 L

55%

Porto H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

69%

Arouca A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

62%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

70%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

4 - 0 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

66%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

AVS A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

64%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Groningen A

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 2 L

66%

Telstar H

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

64%

Twente A

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

81%

Feyenoord H

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

67%

Excelsior A

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 0 W

60%

Heerenveen H

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 2 D

67%

PSV A

Dutch Eredivisie

3 - 2 W

80%

Volendam H

Dutch Eredivisie

3 - 0 W

49%

Fortuna H

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 3 L

56%

Ajax A

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

67%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

NEC has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.5) compared to Estrela (SoS: 53.1). This means NEC's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

NEC holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Estrela conceding 1.3 and NEC conceding 1.3 per match.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

NEC emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.6 vs 39.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estrela

NEC

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair