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Compare Estrela vs Leipzig

Estrela vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Estrela vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Estrela Estrela Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

1

Estrela

2

Draw

12

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Estrela
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1

16-30'

6
2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

6
Estrela
Leipzig
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.1 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leipzig's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with Y. Diomande leading the charge with 4 goals. Estrela manages just 1.0 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Estrela conceding 1.3 and Leipzig conceding 1.1 per match.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Leipzig is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (76.1), defense (68.8), and form (87.0) leaves little room for doubt. Estrela will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estrela

Estrela

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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