Compare Fiorentina vs Estrela

Fiorentina vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Fiorentina vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Fiorentina Home Team

Estrela Away Team

Fiorentina

50.1

D L D D W W L W D W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela

39.2

D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

Fiorentina

Draw

Estrela

Performance Radar

Fiorentina

Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

C. Ndour (2 goals)

Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

65.9

League Difficulty: 86.4, Opponent Quality: 66.1

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

33%

1W / 3 matches

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.06

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating

50.1

Attack: 30.9, Defense: 73.4, Form: 46.4

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Fiorentina

Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

50.1

Overall

Attack 30.9

Defense 73.4

Form 46.4

Consistency 56.8

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4

Defense 58.4

Form 10.3

Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.4 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

66.1 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%

Fiorentina

Estrela

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Genoa H

Italian Serie A

0 - 0 D

62%

Roma A

Italian Serie A

0 - 4 L

75%

Sassuolo H

Italian Serie A

0 - 0 D

64%

Lecce A

Italian Serie A

1 - 1 D

58%

Crystal Palace H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 1 W

63%

Lazio H

Italian Serie A

1 - 0 W

70%

Crystal Palace A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 3 L

68%

Verona A

Italian Serie A

1 - 0 W

55%

Inter Milan H

Italian Serie A

1 - 1 D

78%

Raków A

UEFA Conference League

2 - 1 W

68%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

69%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 3 L

55%

Porto H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

69%

Arouca A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

62%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

70%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

4 - 0 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

66%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

AVS A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Fiorentina has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 65.9) compared to Estrela (SoS: 53.1). This means Fiorentina's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Fiorentina averaging 0.8 and Estrela averaging 1.0 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Fiorentina conceding 1.1 and Estrela conceding 1.3 per match.

Fiorentina has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Fiorentina has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Fiorentina

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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