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Compare Fiorentina vs Leipzig

Fiorentina vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Fiorentina vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Fiorentina Fiorentina Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
Fiorentina
50.1
D L D D W W L W D W

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

3

Fiorentina

2

Draw

10

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Fiorentina
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Ndour (2 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
65.9

League Difficulty: 86.4, Opponent Quality: 66.1

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.86

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.06

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
50.1

Attack: 30.9, Defense: 73.4, Form: 46.4

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

6

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

6
Fiorentina
Leipzig
Fiorentina

Power Rating Breakdown

50.1

Overall

Attack 30.9
Defense 73.4
Form 46.4
Consistency 56.8
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.4 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

66.1 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Fiorentina logo Fiorentina
D
Genoa (62%)
L
Roma (75%)
D
Sassuolo (64%)
D
Lecce (58%)
W
Crystal Palace (63%)
W
Lazio (70%)
L
Crystal Palace (68%)
W
Verona (55%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Genoa H
0 - 0 D
62%
Roma A
0 - 4 L
75%
Sassuolo H
0 - 0 D
64%
Lecce A
1 - 1 D
58%
Crystal Palace H
2 - 1 W
63%
Lazio H
1 - 0 W
70%
Crystal Palace A
0 - 3 L
68%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
55%
Inter Milan H
1 - 1 D
78%
Raków A
2 - 1 W
68%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 65.9 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leipzig's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with Y. Diomande leading the charge with 4 goals. Fiorentina manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Fiorentina conceding 1.1 and Leipzig conceding 1.1 per match.

Fiorentina has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Leipzig emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.6 vs 50.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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