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Compare Fortuna vs Heerenveen

Fortuna vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Fortuna vs Heerenveen: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Fortuna Fortuna Home Team
Heerenveen Heerenveen Away Team
Fortuna
43.6
W L L D L L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Heerenveen
57.1
L W W L W D W W W L

Categories Won

3

Fortuna

4

Draw

8

Heerenveen

Performance Radar

Fortuna
Heerenveen

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

60%

6W, 1D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
K. Sierhuis (4 goals)
J. Trenskow (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

100%

4W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.1

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 63.1

52.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 58.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.77

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.27

2.03

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.23

Adjusted Power Rating
43.6

Attack: 52.0, Defense: 38.2, Form: 41.6

57.1

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 54.7, Form: 61.6

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

5
6

46-60'

4
2

61-75'

3

76-90+'

2
Fortuna
Heerenveen
Fortuna

Power Rating Breakdown

43.6

Overall

Attack 52.0
Defense 38.2
Form 41.6
Consistency 39.7
Heerenveen

Power Rating Breakdown

57.1

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 54.7
Form 61.6
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

63.1 vs 58.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Fortuna logo Fortuna
W
Zwolle (54%)
L
Feyenoord (67%)
L
Heerenveen (72%)
D
NAC (49%)
L
AZ (72%)
L
Twente (76%)
W
Volendam (54%)
L
Telstar (64%)
Heerenveen logo Heerenveen
L
NAC (54%)
W
Volendam (54%)
W
Fortuna (56%)
L
AZ (72%)
W
Heracles (36%)
D
NEC (69%)
W
Telstar (64%)
W
Excelsior (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Zwolle H
3 - 2 W
54%
Feyenoord H
1 - 2 L
67%
Heerenveen A
1 - 2 L
72%
NAC H
1 - 1 D
49%
AZ A
0 - 2 L
72%
Twente H
1 - 2 L
76%
Volendam A
2 - 1 W
54%
Telstar H
1 - 4 L
64%
NEC A
3 - 2 W
69%
Excelsior H
2 - 1 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
NAC A
0 - 2 L
54%
Volendam A
2 - 0 W
54%
Fortuna H
2 - 1 W
56%
AZ A
0 - 3 L
72%
Heracles H
4 - 1 W
36%
NEC A
2 - 2 D
69%
Telstar H
3 - 0 W
64%
Excelsior A
2 - 1 W
60%
Sparta H
2 - 1 W
44%
PSV A
1 - 3 L
80%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.1 vs 52.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Heerenveen holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Fortuna's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Heerenveen has the defensive edge, conceding 1.4 per match compared to Fortuna's 1.9.

Fortuna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Heerenveen, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Heerenveen has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent Dutch Eredivisie match (2026-04-25), Heerenveen prevailed 2-1 against Fortuna. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Heerenveen secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Fortuna will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Heerenveen will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Fortuna

Fortuna

VS
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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