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Compare Fortuna vs St. Pauli

Fortuna vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Fortuna vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Fortuna Fortuna Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Fortuna
43.6
W L L D L L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

10

Fortuna

1

Draw

4

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Fortuna
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
K. Sierhuis (4 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.1

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 63.1

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.77

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.27

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
43.6

Attack: 52.0, Defense: 38.2, Form: 41.6

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

6

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

1

76-90+'

2
Fortuna
St. Pauli
Fortuna

Power Rating Breakdown

43.6

Overall

Attack 52.0
Defense 38.2
Form 41.6
Consistency 39.7
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

63.1 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Fortuna logo Fortuna
W
Zwolle (54%)
L
Feyenoord (67%)
L
Heerenveen (72%)
D
NAC (49%)
L
AZ (72%)
L
Twente (76%)
W
Volendam (54%)
L
Telstar (64%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Zwolle H
3 - 2 W
54%
Feyenoord H
1 - 2 L
67%
Heerenveen A
1 - 2 L
72%
NAC H
1 - 1 D
49%
AZ A
0 - 2 L
72%
Twente H
1 - 2 L
76%
Volendam A
2 - 1 W
54%
Telstar H
1 - 4 L
64%
NEC A
3 - 2 W
69%
Excelsior H
2 - 1 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Fortuna (SoS: 54.1). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Fortuna holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Fortuna conceding 1.9 and St. Pauli conceding 1.7 per match.

Fortuna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Fortuna has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Fortuna

Fortuna

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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