Compare Freiburg vs AEK Athens

Freiburg vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Home Team

AEK Athens Away Team

Freiburg

56.4

L W D L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens

66.5

W D W W L W W L D W

Categories Won

Freiburg

Draw

AEK Athens

Performance Radar

Freiburg

AEK Athens

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

I. Matanović (3 goals)

Zine (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8

Home Win Rate

75%

3W / 4 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

33%

2W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating

56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Freiburg

AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4

Defense 56.8

Form 56.8

Consistency 38.8

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9

Defense 76.9

Form 65.9

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 64.8

Opponent Quality

62.1 vs 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 50%

Freiburg

AEK Athens

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Hamburg A

German Bundesliga

2 - 3 L

63%

Braga H

UEFA Europa League

3 - 1 W

66%

Wolfsburg H

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

50%

Braga A

UEFA Europa League

1 - 2 L

71%

Dortmund A

German Bundesliga

0 - 4 L

76%

Stuttgart A

German DFB Pokal

1 - 2 L

57%

Heidenheim H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Celta Vigo A

UEFA Europa League

3 - 1 W

56%

Mainz 05 A

German Bundesliga

1 - 0 W

70%

Celta Vigo H

UEFA Europa League

3 - 0 W

50%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Panathinaikos H

Greek Super League

2 - 1 W

52%

Panathinaikos A

Greek Super League

0 - 0 D

57%

PAOK H

Greek Super League

3 - 0 W

54%

Rayo H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 1 W

68%

Rayo A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 3 L

73%

Olympiakos A

Greek Super League

1 - 0 W

61%

Kifisia H

Greek Super League

3 - 0 W

49%

Celje H

UEFA Conference League

0 - 2 L

67%

Atromitos A

Greek Super League

2 - 2 D

59%

Celje A

UEFA Conference League

4 - 0 W

70%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.6 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Freiburg averaging 1.7 and AEK Athens averaging 1.8 goals per match.

AEK Athens has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Freiburg's 1.5.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

AEK Athens has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

AEK Athens

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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