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Compare Freiburg vs Köln

Freiburg vs Köln Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs Köln: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Freiburg Home Team
Köln Köln Away Team
Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Köln
41.1
L D L D W D D D L L

Categories Won

12

Freiburg

1

Draw

2

Köln

Performance Radar

Freiburg
Köln

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

10%

1W, 5D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Matanović (3 goals)
S. El Mala (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.6

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

1.87

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.37

Adjusted Power Rating
56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

41.1

Attack: 54.4, Defense: 39.9, Form: 10.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
5

16-30'

4

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

2

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

6
Freiburg
Köln
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8
Köln

Power Rating Breakdown

41.1

Overall

Attack 54.4
Defense 39.9
Form 10.9
Consistency 77.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

62.1 vs 63.6

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)
Köln logo Köln
L
Heidenheim (62%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Leverkusen (65%)
D
St. Pauli (55%)
W
Bremen (62%)
D
Frankfurt (67%)
D
M'gladbach (63%)
D
Hamburg (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim H
1 - 3 L
62%
Union Berlin A
2 - 2 D
57%
Leverkusen H
1 - 2 L
65%
St. Pauli A
1 - 1 D
55%
Bremen H
3 - 1 W
62%
Frankfurt A
2 - 2 D
67%
M'gladbach H
3 - 3 D
63%
Hamburg A
1 - 1 D
63%
Dortmund H
1 - 2 L
71%
Augsburg A
0 - 2 L
71%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.6 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Freiburg averaging 1.7 and Köln averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Freiburg has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Köln's 1.9.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 41.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

Freiburg

VS
Köln

Köln

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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