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Compare Freiburg vs Lille

Freiburg vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Freiburg Home Team
Lille Lille Away Team
Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Lille
72.8
W D W D W W W L W L

Categories Won

5

Freiburg

1

Draw

9

Lille

Performance Radar

Freiburg
Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Matanović (3 goals)
Matías Fernández (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

75.1

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

1.66

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

72.8

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 100, Form: 75.1

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
5

16-30'

3
4

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

6
2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Freiburg
Lille
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8
Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 58.4
Defense 100
Form 75.1
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 85.8

Opponent Quality

62.1 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 67%
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)
Lille logo Lille
W
Monaco (77%)
D
Le Havre (53%)
W
Paris FC (77%)
D
Nice (55%)
W
Toulouse (62%)
W
Lens (71%)
W
Marseille (66%)
L
Aston Villa (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Monaco A
1 - 0 W
77%
Le Havre H
1 - 1 D
53%
Paris FC A
1 - 0 W
77%
Nice H
0 - 0 D
55%
Toulouse A
4 - 0 W
62%
Lens H
3 - 0 W
71%
Marseille A
2 - 1 W
66%
Aston Villa A
0 - 2 L
75%
Rennes A
2 - 1 W
80%
Aston Villa H
0 - 1 L
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Lille has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 75.1) compared to Freiburg (SoS: 63.6). This means Lille's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Lille's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Lille is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Freiburg leaks 1.5 per match.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lille emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (72.8 vs 56.4) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

Freiburg

VS
Lille

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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